MIT Research News' Journal
 
[Most Recent Entries] [Calendar View]

Thursday, February 4th, 2016

    Time Event
    12:00a
    Do venture capitalists matter?

    Okay, entrepreneurs and venture capitalists, here are two words that can help your investment in a startup business succeed: direct flights.

    A new study co-authored by an MIT professor shows that venture capitalists do help startup firms by closely monitoring their development, and that the availability of direct airplane flights between the two parties helps improve that oversight.

    Indeed, the introduction of a new airline route directly connecting venture capitalists to fledgling companies in which they have already invested leads to a 3.1 percent increase in the patents those firms are granted, as well as a 5.8 percent increase in the citations those patents receive — compared to equivalent cases where similar investments are made but direct flights never become available.  

    “The effect is that those companies become more innovative,” says Xavier Giroud, an associate professor of finance at the MIT Sloan School of Management.

    The research examines nearly 23,000 startups that worked with more than 3,000 venture capital firms over a 30-year period. The study took into account regional economic trends, to make sure that the successes of startups and the introduction of direct flights were not both themselves the consequence of larger economic developments.

    The paper detailing the study, “The Impact of Venture Capital Monitoring,” will be published in the Journal of Finance. The co-authors are Giroud, who is the Ford International Career Development Professor of Finance; Shai Bernstein, an assistant professor at Stanford University’s Graduate School of Business; and Richard R. Townsend, an assistant professor at Dartmouth’s Tuck School of Business.

    Other things being equal

    Venture capitalists (often called VCs) usually provide critical early-stage funding for startup firms across a variety of high-tech industries. This paper addresses a long-running question in the business world: Do venture capitalists actually improve the operations of the firms they back, or are they just identifying startups that are destined to succeed (or fail) in any case?

    As Giroud acknowledges, it has long been “an open question whether it [VC involvement] is something that adds value.”

    Answering in the affirmative, the study zeroes in on cases where direct flights were introduced between areas in which VCs and startups had already established their business relationships. That meant the researchers could compare, on aggregate, two kinds of startups, separated by one variable: Startups whose VCs began working with them more closely during the period of investment, due to the easier travel that became available; and startups in which the VCs remained consistently less involved.

    To conduct the study, the researchers employed data from three separate sources: the Thomson Reuters VentureXpert database on VC investments, the National Bureau of Economic Research Patent Data Project, and Department of Transportation data on flights. The three data sets overlapped from 1977 through 2006.

    Giroud, Bernstein, and Townsend also conducted a separate survey of 306 venture capital firms to see if the presence of direct flights increased the amount of contact VCs had with the start-ups they had invested in. About 86 percent of the respondents agreed that direct flights allow VCs to spend more time monitoring the firms in their portfolios.

    The scholars were conscious of the possibility that regional economic conditions may also affect the distribution and success rates of start-ups, and they adjusted their findings to take into account the annual economic trends of each metropolitan area in question, using the same definitions as the U.S. Census Bureau. That helped them conclude that VC monitoring matters, and that the relative success of start-ups at different times and places was not simply driven by external factors, such as a local economic boom that might also lead to more direct flights.

    The consequence, the researchers write in the paper, is that “pre-existing trends are not driving our results.”

    The study also found that startups connected to their VCs by direct flights are also 1.0 percent more likely to issue a public stock offering and 1.4 percent more likely to have a successful “exit” from their start-up incarnation, via public stock offering or acquisition by another company.

    “They are more likely to have a successful IPO,” Giroud notes.

    Entrepreneurship all over the place

    All told, the study examined 22,896 startup companies and 3,158 VC firms. Among other things, they found a wider dispersion of both startups and VCs than the popular image might suggest. About 50 percent of startups and VCs in the study were located outside of Northern California, New England, and New York, the three areas most commonly associated with high-tech startups and investors.

    “There are entrepreneurial firms all over the place,” Giroud observes.

    Scholars who study venture capital say the paper is a significant contribution to the field.

    “I was very persuaded,” says Matthew Rhodes-Kropf, an associate professor at Harvard Business School, who has read the study. “I think it’s a great paper. It’s very hard to get an [analytical] instrument that works like this.”

    Rhodes-Kropf suggests that the actual process through which VC involvement helps startups could take a few forms. One is “risk tolerance,” meaning that when VCs are “paying attention” to their investments, it “allows experimentation” to occur and succeed. Another possibility is that VCs instill “pure discipline” in startups and force them to reach certain goals.

    Either way, Rhodes-Kropf adds, close collaboration with VCs often builds “bandwidth” for startups, usually by adding knowledgeable investors to the collective capabilities of a new firm.

    For his part, Giroud also suggests at least one local or regional policy application of the findings: Lobby for more connections between your nearest airport and the rest of the world.

    “Suppose you want to promote entrepreneurship in a given area,” Giroud says. “One policy could be to promote the availability of [more] direct flights between the area and VC hubs.”

    12:00a
    Computer science meets economics

    Daedalus of Crete — who, according to Greek myth, designed the labyrinth that trapped the Minotaur — is one of the oldest symbols of human ingenuity, credited with the invention of the saw, the ax, glue, and the ship’s sail, among other things.

    Constantinos Daskalakis, a recently tenured associate professor of computer science and engineering at MIT, comes from a Cretan family, and while it’s fanciful to suggest that the ingenuity of his work in theoretical computer science owes anything to the example of Daedalus, the problems he explores are undoubtedly labyrinthine.

    Much of Daskalakis’ work concentrates on the application of computer science techniques to game theory, a discipline that attempts to get a quantitative handle on human strategic reasoning. Game theory models human interactions as a series of moves in a clearly defined game; each move represents an instance of a particular strategy and may elicit a different response from the other players, leading to different rewards. Even a simple game with only a handful of players can take vastly more twists and turns than the largest physical labyrinth.

    Daskalakis’ parents are both from Crete, but they met in Athens, where they had come for college — his father to study mathematics, and his mother to study Ancient Greek literature and philosophy. Until he came to the U.S. for graduate school, Daskalakis lived in the greater Athens area — like one-third of the country’s population. “When you ask the question ‘Where are you from?’ in Greece, it has a different meaning than when you ask it in the States,” Daskalakis says. “In the States it means where you grew up. In Greece it means where your family originated from.”

    Both of Daskalakis’ parents were teachers, and as a child, he showed an interest in and an aptitude for both of their disciplines. In junior high, however, he competed in the math Olympiad and finished second in the country. Though literature remains important to him — his MIT Web page features the complete text of a poem by the great Greek modernist poet Constantine Cavafy — from then on, he was marked as a student with exceptional mathematical promise.

    Game theory

    In Greece, every high school senior opts to take one of three sets of standardized tests, which determines his or her university placement. Daskalakis’ score on the technical exam was the fifth highest in the country, earning him a spot at the prestigious National Technical University of Athens. He enrolled in the five-year electrical engineering and computer science curriculum, the first half of which is spent canvassing a huge range of topics, from the physics of individual electrical components to the most esoteric questions in theoretical computer science.

    “Sampling this big spectrum satiated my desire in the applied domain,” Daskalakis says. “I understood I could write a complicated program and then decided, ‘OK, now I know how to write a program. Let’s do math.’”

    Daskalakis applied to and was accepted by graduate programs at several U.S. universities, and during his fifth year, he came to the United States to visit them. At the University of California at Berkeley, he was captivated by the computer scientist Christos Papadimitriou, a recipient of both of the Association for Computing Machinery’s major awards for theoretical computer science. Papadimitriou’s larger-than-life personality was celebrated in the bestselling 2009 comic book “Logicomix.”

    “He’s a very inspiring person,” Daskalakis says, “and a founding father of the interaction between computer science and economics.”

    After returning to Greece, Daskalakis chose to focus on that interaction for his undergraduate thesis. Game theory has been a staple of economics research since 1950, when John Nash, who taught at MIT from 1951 to 1959 and is the subject of the movie “A Beautiful Mind,” published the seminal paper that would ultimately win him the Nobel Prize in economics.

    Every game has what’s called a Nash equilibrium, which describes a balance of strategies that no player has an incentive to change unilaterally. Daskalakis’ thesis investigated Nash equilibria for games that can be represented as highly regular networks of interactions. The paper was accepted to the 13th Annual European Symposium on Algorithms. “I still find it a very elegant piece of work,” Daskalakis says.

    Intractability

    In 2004, after graduating, Daskalakis moved to Berkeley, to continue his study of algorithmic game theory with Papadimitriou. Four years later, his doctoral dissertation won the Association for Computing Machinery’s thesis award.

    In it, Daskalakis proves that computing the Nash equilibrium for a three-person game is computationally intractable. That means that, for any but the simplest of games, all the computers in the world couldn’t calculate its Nash equilibrium in the lifetime of the universe. Consequently, Daskalakis argues, it’s unlikely that the real-world markets modeled by game theorists have converged on Nash equilibria either.

    “I have been blessed throughout my career with the most brilliant graduate students and collaborators, but Costis [Daskalakis] is different from all,” Papadimitriou says. “I had been working on what ended up being his thesis problem — the complexity of Nash equilibria — for more than two decades. In the fall of 2004, conversations with Costis, who, remarkably, had just started his first year of graduate studies at Berkeley, inspired me to give it another good push, and this ultimately led to an important result.”

    During his last year at Berkeley, Daskalakis got a job offer from MIT, but he deferred it for a year to do a postdoc at Microsoft Research New England. “It was really a year for me to step back and think about what I want to do next before coming to MIT and being very busy,” Daskalakis says.

    When computer scientists run up against an intractable problem, their first recourse is to investigate the tractability of approximate solutions to it. After his doctoral thesis, Daskalakis focused on importing notions of approximation from computer science into economics. First, he published several papers examining the computation of approximate Nash equilibria. Some of those results were disheartening: For general games, even relatively coarse approximations are still intractably hard to find.

    Ideal auctions

    Other problems in game theory, however, have proven more susceptible to analysis from a computational perspective. In 2012, after coming to MIT, Daskalakis and his students solved a 30-year-old problem in economics, a generalization of work that helped earn the University of Chicago’s Roger Myerson the Nobel Prize in economics. That problem was how to structure auctions for multiple items so that, even if all the bidders adopt strategies that maximize their own returns, the auctioneer can still extract the greatest profit.

    Since then, Daskalakis’ group has taken on topics in computational genetics, probability theory, and machine learning. They’ve also been working to generalize their results on auction design. “The computer science aesthetic is, ‘Given a problem, I am looking for an algorithm that solves instances of this problem,’” Daskalakis says. “The economics aesthetic is, ‘Given a problem, I want to understand the structure of the solutions to different instances of this problem. I want to be able to make universal statements about the structure of these solutions.’ Working at this interface of economics and computation, you have to balance the two aesthetics. Now we’re trying to import more of that economics aesthetic into our work.”

    “To do that,” Daskalakis adds, “it turned out we had to develop new tools in the field of mathematics called optimal transport theory,” which examines the most efficient way to move objects — or data — between multiple origins and destinations. The labyrinthine path that Daskalakis started down as a senior in college continues to branch in unexpected ways.

    << Previous Day 2016/02/04
    [Calendar]
    Next Day >>

MIT Research News   About LJ.Rossia.org