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Tuesday, October 8th, 2024

    Time Event
    8:54a
    William Barber

    *William Barber [co-chair of the Poor People's Campaign] Says Presidential Debates "Failing" the Poor.*

    The article linked to just above displays symbolic bigotry by capitalizing "black" but not "white". (To avoid endorsing bigotry, capitalize both words or neither one.) I denounce bigotry, and normally I will not link to articles that practice it. But I make exceptions for some articles because I consider them important — and I label them like this.

    This article is important because the Poor People's Campaign deserves people's attention.

    8:54a
    Nuclear Arms Race

    When societies become more distrustful in general, that can be exploited by politicians by promoting belligerence, and arms companies will fund them to do so.

    8:54a
    EU court rules

    The European Union's highest court ruled that any Afghan woman is entitled to asylum.

    This seems valid to me — and I expect the same arguments apply for various other countries.

    8:54a
    Proposition 6

    Californians will vote on whether to abolish the practice of forcing prisoners to work.

    That practice is bad for people outside prison, as the state collects a low wage for the prisoners' labor. If not for that, people would do those jobs by choice and get a fair wage.

    8:54a
    Antarctica is ‘greening’

    Global heating is speeding plants in Antarctica.

    8:54a
    Debate performance

    *JD Vance's debate lines were so polished you could forget they made no sense.*

    This is the most deeply dangerous thing about the wrecker/Rants team: they have developed s way of forming their public discourse out of pure bullshit, treating real issues with contempts.

    This is what makes them enemies of democracy in the US.

    The most significant real point Rants made was the one he made by refusing to acknowledge that Biden won the 2020 election. They and their followers talk like gangsters (at least fictional ones), making statements to threaten us, veiled with a pretense that we're supposed to see through but gives them deniability.

    8:54a
    Assisted dying

    A proposal to entirely disconnect assisted suicide from the medical system and medical practitioners.

    I think it is a reasonable idea. The criterion of a terminal illness has always seemed arbitrary to me. Intractable pain clearly should be considered a valid reason.

    However, that is not the only situation which is a good reason for suicide. If I were sliding into dementia, and the most I could hope ever to achieve by living was to have occasional moments when I could be aware of what was happening, I would want to give an order to dispense with my body's life when I myself (my mind) was fully dead.

    8:54a
    Iranian oil refineries

    Netanyahu is talking about how to "retaliate" for Iran's attack with many ballistic missiles that caused almost no damage.

    It makes no sense to "retaliate" for an attack that did almost no damage. If you want peace, the useful strategy is to refrain from responding and hope that opens a path to de-escalation.

    I therefore suspect that Netanyahu is seeking an excuse for more escalation.

    8:54a
    Doublespeak

    *U.S. Media's Doublespeak: Israelis Live in "Densely Populated Areas," Palestinians Are "Human Shields".*

    8:54a
    Nuclear Power Deal

    Microsoft and a utility company want to make a deal to restart an old nuclear power plant,

    to power LLMs (bullshit generators, which it likes to call "artificial intelligence")

    which it will use to enshittify its search engine and other "services".

    That plan includes a contingent gift from the US government. Worse, a nuclear power plant's cost tends to increase enormously. If that happens, they would ask the US government for more money and use the "sunk costs" fallacy

    to manipulate the government into granting that request,

    The government should respond, "Ask Microsoft to guarantee this loan".

    But since enshittification harms the public, the ideal course of action is to prevent it from happening.

    8:54a
    Shattered Asheville

    Asheville, North Carolina, is far away from the coast, and people called it a refuge from the danger of climate disaster.

    Alas, Hurricane Helene was so powerful that it reached Asheville and its rain flooded parts of the city. I suppose that the flooding had to do with the major rivers that meet there.

    Fast, heavy rain can cause flooding in all sorts of places, and it takes an engineering study to determine where that will happen. The engineering works to prevent flooding generally are adequate up to some postulated level of rain a heavier rain than that would still cause floods.

    Geography can make refuges for some global heating effects, but some are not so limited. For instance, global heating effects are messing up agriculture. If (or when) there is a national or global shortage of food because of ruined harvests, you won't be able to escape that just by choosing the right neighborhood to live in.

    8:54a
    Asylum restrictions

    Biden adopted the bully's policy to block people from asking the US for asylum at the border with Mexico. In practice, almost no one can do that any more, but Biden wants to look even "tougher", so he has announced a stricter theoretical criterion for maybe someday allowing asylum requests to be taken again.

    People who have been oppressed at home are entitled to political asylum. The US is unable to respond promptly to all the requests because its capacity to judge them is insufficient. The remedy for this is to train and hire more judges so it can respond reasonably fast with "yes" or "no". Then it could allow applicants to stay in the US for the short time it will take to judge their requests.

    8:54a
    Misinformation media

    Why lawsuits for defamation are not adequate to protect society from harmful disinformation.

    8:54a
    Major storms

    Data analysis shows that a hurricane hitting the US generally causes 7,000 to 11,000 excess deaths in the damaged regions over the following 15 years. This makes it an important cause of death in those regions.

    The study looked at statistics for the US, but I see no reason this would not happen similarly in the rest of the world.

    This method of analysis does not give information about the chains of events that lead to these subsequent deaths. The researchers speculate that the causes might include "fallout from resulting economic and job losses after storms, suddenly overstretched local government budgets that under fund [medical] providers, the release of environmental toxins as storms hit industrialized areas and the unhealthy impact of stress upon those who have to endure hurricanes."

    These effects happen even where there is no hurricane, but a hurricane makes them happen to more people. If we organize better social responses to these problems after a hurricane, and they prevent some of the delayed deaths, the same responses could help the people who suffer these problems due to non-hurricane causes.

    It looks like poverty plays a role in causing these deaths; it makes people more vulnerable to whatever goes wrong. Indeed, poverty generally correlates with lower life expectancy.

    If the US economic system were not based on dooH niboR, hurricane-caused delayed deaths would be fewer. However, even as global heating has been making hurricanes more powerful,

    and thus likely to kill more, plutocratist economic policies and laws have been increasing poverty,

    which likewise tends to kill more.

    8:54a
    H-2A worker program

    *US farms are forcing workers to buy inedible, expensive meals.*

    Note that the workers described in the article are US-government-authorized migrants. Farms need workers, so US law arranges for Mexicans to come and work. The same law tries to protect them from exploitation, but the greedy bastards that own the farms never stop looking for loopholes in that protection.

    8:54a
    To stem ecocide

    Putin's men poisoned the Seym river, which flows into Ukraine and merges into the Desna river. This has killed all the animals in the Desna as far as it has reached. Humans cannot drink the water or even swim in it. This is chemical warfare, banned by a treaty that Putin has visibly violated.

    This may resolve an ancient philosophical quandary. It must be possible to step into the Seym river twice, but it may not be safe.

    8:54a
    Algorithmic surveillance

    The UK may be planning to use massive surveillance on people who receive government support, then use artificial intelligence to heuristically raise suspicion of fraud or errors.

    If this task is done "correctly" it will identify many cases that might involve fraud or error. To separate the real fraud or error from the misidentified cases would require further investigation by human beings. Then the whole system might work correctly.

    But there will be a tendency to skip the expensive second step and presume that the computer's results are correct. When they are not, you may face a horrible runaround that could leave you homeless.

    8:54a
    Substandard housing

    *Overcharged for substandard housing: untold story of Haitians in Springfield [Ohio].*

    8:54a
    Giant hybrid sheep

    Arthur Schubarth of Montana was convicted of using tissue from large Asian Marco Polo sheep to make a clone and then a "giant" hybrid.

    The judge seems to have said that the real crime was modifying breeds of animals, but that is done all the time. The article does not say that the project involved any genetic engineering (as distinct from ordinary breeding), but that is not a crime either.

    Was this operation alleged to be harmful? If so, how? Are these sheep dangerous to people? Could they become feral and overgraze areas? I expect it would be easy to control their numbers by hunting, or wipe them out if necessary.

    Maybe all that is irrelevant to the accusation — it could be simply that he did not have the required permits.

    8:54a
    Trumps small lead

    Robert Reich: *[The bullshitter] is gaining on Kamala Harris in the polls. I have some theories why.*

    Basically, he theorizes that the bullshitter is attracting the major media from the issues of substance where Harris would have an advantage.

    It would be true.

    8:54a
    Livestock emissions report

    *Scientists criticize UN agency’s failure to withdraw livestock emissions report,* which they criticized for understating the importance of reducing these emissions for avoiding climate disaster.

    8:54a
    Deep intelligence

    The Israeli air raid that killed Nasrallah killed 90 other members of Hezbollah — probably many of them leaders.

    It will not be easy to replace them with experienced new commanders.

    There must still be hundreds of commanders who can order their units to keep firing missiles. That doesn't require cleverness, great authority, or special cleverness. For Hezbollah to change its course of action will be far more difficult. Especially difficult would be any reduction in the level of conflict. In effect, Hezbollah may now be too weak to be flexible.

    8:54a
    Brazil’s ‘Paradise’

    The Madeira river basin, in the Amazon, is beset by wildfires — promoted by global heating and lit for the sake of deforestation.

    8:54a
    PACE hearing

    Julian Assange spoke to the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe.

    about how the US actions against him and others related to Wikileaks put freedom of the press globally in danger.

    The Council of Europe

    predates the European Union and has more countries as members.

    8:54a
    Disease of our times

    Kenan Malik: *Too white? Too black? Too woke? Politics by labeling is a disease of our times.*

    *There is, in fact, a long history of hate speech laws being used to criminalize minorities.*

    8:54a
    Ex-Trump advisers

    *[The corrupters' former] advisers help to grow pro-Russia website that spreads misinformation.*

    8:54a
    Water industry analysis

    * Labour used “economically illiterate” analysis paid for by water companies in order to argue against the nationalisation [of the water companies] in England.*

    I am not surprised by this — it is the soft of thing that Tory Lite would do.

    8:54a
    Tuvalu climate minister

    Island countries in the Pacific are denouncing Australia for authorizing expansion of some existing coal mines. One leader accuses Australia of proceeding to drown them.

    This is true in the deepest sense, but superficially an exaggeration.

    Humanity is indeed carrying out the inundation of the atolls. Of their habitable land, nothing atoll will remain. Later, after global heating and ocean acidification have caused the extinction of coral (along with most mollusks and crustaceans), there will never be atolls again.

    The exaggeration is that this is not specifically the fault of coal, nor specifically the fault of Australia. All fossil fuels contribute. and so does deforestation. Australia participates in bringing global disaster, but so do the US, China, Brazil, and many other countries.

    It's inaccurate to put the blame on Australia alone. Every country that opens new mines or wells for fossil fuel is more or less to blame for this crime-in-progress. However, since Australia is one of the major perpetrators, and located in the Pacific, it is entirely legitimate for those victims-to-be to focus their ire there.

    8:54a
    Indict Blinken

    Leaked documents show that Blinken lied when he stated, in an official report, that "we do not currently assess that the Israeli government is prohibiting or otherwise restricting the transport or delivery of U.S. humanitarian assistance.”

    Veterans for Peace calls for him to be prosecuted. I'd be satisfied if the US government officially reversed that false statement and began applying the law to arms shipments to Israel.

    8:55a
    Arms firm protests

    *Activists say they have proof [Tory] ministers tried to influence police over [protests against] Israeli arms firm [Elbit].*

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