tiphareth: Increases in COVID-19 are unrelated to levels of vaccination

Настроение:	sick
Музыка:	Militia Christi - Non Timor Domini, Non Timor Malus
Entry tags:	covid

Increases in COVID-19 are unrelated to levels of vaccination
Смешно
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-021-00808-7
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28903710
https://www.theblaze.com/op-ed/horowitz-the-country-with-the-best-data-shows-infection-rates-higher-among-the-vaccinated
https://www.theblaze.com/op-ed/horowitz-harvard-researcher-finds-absolutely-no-correlation-between-vax-rates-and-covid-cases-globally
научное исследование, доказывающее, что вакцины не оказывают
абсолютно никакого влияния на заражаемость китайской простудой.

Vaccines currently are the primary mitigation strategy to
combat COVID-19 around the world. For instance, the
narrative related to the ongoing surge of new cases in the
United States (US) is argued to be driven by areas with
low vaccination rates [1]. A similar narrative also has
been observed in countries, such as Germany and the United
Kingdom [2]. At the same time, Israel that was hailed for
its swift and high rates of vaccination has also seen a
substantial resurgence in COVID-19 cases [3]. We
investigate the relationship between the percentage of
population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases across
68 countries and across 2947 counties in the US.

At the country-level, there appears to be no discernable
relationship between percentage of population fully
vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days
(Fig. 1). In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally
positive association such that countries with higher
percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher
COVID-19 cases per 1 million people. Notably, Israel with
over 60% of their population fully vaccinated had the
highest COVID-19 cases per 1 million people in the last 7
days.

Активисты возмущаются, и вынуждают автора исследования
(гарвардского профессора) извиняться, дескать он никак
не собирался ~~оскорблять религиозные чувства~~
подвергать сомнению необходимость уколоться шмурдяком.

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2021/10/subramanian-harvard-covid-vaccines/
https://www.skepticalraptor.com/skepticalraptorblog.php/covid-infection-rates-are-not-unrelated-to-vaccines-debunking-research/

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	zamaski 2021-10-20 02:15 (ссылка)
	И что, в этом документе сказано, что пфайзер обещал 96% именно против "заражения", а не adverse events типа госпитализации или дуба дать? (Ответить) (Уровень выше) (Ветвь дискуссии)

kotovski
2021-10-20 17:39 (ссылка)

страницы 6 и 7:

From dose 1 to before dose 2, 46 COVID-19 cases were observed in BNT162b2 and 110 in placebo recipients (with or without evidence of prior infection), corresponding to 58.4% VE (95% CI [40.8-71.2]) (Fig. 2). During the interval from the approximate start of observed protection at 11 days post-dose 1 to before dose 2, VE increased to 91.7% (95% CI 79.6-97.4). From its peak post-dose 2, observed VE declined. From 7 days to <2 months post-dose 2, VE was 96.2% (95% CI [93.3-98.1]); from 2 months to <4 months, VE was 90.1% (95% CI [86.6-92.9]); and from 4 months to the data cut-off, VE was 83.7% (95% CI [74.7-89.9]).

как они считали VE (страница 4):
VE was estimated by 100×(1‒IRR). IRR is the ratio of the rate of confirmed COVID-19 illness per 1000 person-years follow-up in the BNT162b2 group to that in the placebo group.

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