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L’équilibre des puissances
The Concert of Europe functioned effectively in no small part because its members were, broadly
speaking, satisfied powers seeking to preserve, not overturn, the territorial status quo. In today’s
world, Russian land grabs in Georgia and Ukraine are worrying developments, revealing the
Kremlin’s readiness to violate the territorial integrity of its neighbors. So are China’s ongoing
efforts to lay claim to and build military facilities on disputed islands in the South China Sea and
Beijing’s violation of its pledges to respect Hong Kong’s autonomy. Nonetheless, neither Russia
nor China has yet to become an implacably aggressive state committed to wholesale territorial
expansion. A global concert also makes that outcome less likely by establishing a forum in which
its members can make transparent their core security interests and strategic “redlines.” Nonetheless,
if an aggressor state that routinely threatened other members’ interests were to emerge, it would be
expelled from the group, and the remaining members of the concert would rally against it.
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