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Пишет Misha Verbitsky (![[info]](http://lj.rossia.org/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small} tiphareth)@ 2020-05-28 13:33:00 |
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| Настроение: |  sick |
| Музыка: | Maidanek Waltz - ОФЕЛИЯ |
ковидобесие, паника и локдаун
Хорошая статья про смертность от коронавируса в UK.
https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/05/1
оказывается, в ожидании массового падежа населения
правительство приказало перевести всех престарелых пациентов из
больниц обратно в дома престарелых; пациенты перезаразили
здоровых и все померли. Госпитали, откуда их
вывезли, так и остались пустыми, потому что
предсказания британских ученых оказались полнейшей
туфтой и липой. Все как всегда, основной причиной жертв
ковида является ковидобесие, паника и локдаун.
Around the peak of hospital cases on 10 April, only 51 per
cent of the NHS's acute beds were occupied by a Covid
patient. Around the same time, 41 per cent of acute beds
were not occupied at all - more than four times the normal
number. The emergency Nightingale hospitals have also been
largely empty. The Nightingale in London's Excel Centre,
which had space for 4,000 beds, only treated 51 patients
in its first three weeks of operation. It was closed at
the beginning of May.
As Professor Carl Henegan, director of Oxford University's
Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, has argued, the fact
that Covid cases and deaths peaked in early April suggests
that the number of people getting infected peaked before
the lockdown was introduced on 23 March.
In other words, putting the public under house arrest and
wrecking the economy - which has also contributed to
thousands of unnecessary deaths - was never necessary to
'Protect the NHS' in any case. But by the time the
lockdown was introduced, the government was convinced that
the NHS faced a tsunami of Covid cases. The infamous
Imperial College model predicted 500,000 deaths from an
unmitigated epidemic. Fear and panic drove the
decision-making. And those decisions cost lives.
Shockingly, the UK government was not alone in pushing the
crisis into care homes. In New York, the centre of the
world's worst outbreak, it is a similar story. Care homes
were not only neglected for PPE and testing, but were also
ordered to take in Covid patients. Homes could be fined
$10,000 or lose their operating licence if they refused to
comply with the rules. In Lombardy, the hardest-hit region
of Italy, care homes were paid extra to take in Covid
patients from hospitals.
The carnage in care homes ought to be the biggest scandal
of the Covid crisis.
* * *
Советник правительства Нил Фергюсон, который настаивал
на локдауне, обещал, что в Англии будет 500,000 погибших
от ковида. Полмиллиона трупов, положим, в Англии не было, но 27
тысяч было; из них как минимум половина на его совести.
Что занятно, Нил Фергюсон обещал то же самое и для
свиного гриппа, и тоже настаивал на локдауне.
In 2009, Ferguson and his Imperial team predicted that
swine flu had a case fatality rate 0.3 per cent to 1.5 per
cent. His most likely estimate was that the mortality rate
was 0.4 per cent. A government estimate, based on
Ferguson's advice, said a 'reasonable worst-case scenario'
was that the disease would lead to 65,000 UK deaths.
In the end swine flu killed 457 people in the UK and had a
death rate of just 0.026 per cent in those infected.
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/s
https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/p
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.e
"So the real scandal is: Why did anyone ever listen to this guy?"
* * *
Ну и до кучи, там же смешное интервью с Йорамом Лассом,
бывшим израильским министром здравоохранения, а ныне
профессором в tau.ac.il.
https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/05/2
Утверждает, что единственная разница между короной
и кучей других эпидемий - в том, что параллельно с
эпидемией ковида началась эпидемия ковидобесия и
истерической паники в социальных сетях. В результате
население поехало крышей и потребовало от государства
максимально жестких полицейских мер в защиту от ковида,
приведших в итоге к многократно большим жертвам,
чем сам ковид.
spiked: You have described the global response to
coronavirus as hysteria. Can you explain that?
Yoram Lass: It is the first epidemic in history which is
accompanied by another epidemic - the virus of the social
networks. These new media have brainwashed entire
populations. What you get is fear and anxiety, and an
inability to look at real data. And therefore you have all
the ingredients for monstrous hysteria.
It is what is known in science as positive feedback or a
snowball effect. The government is afraid of its
constituents. Therefore, it implements draconian
measures. The constituents look at the draconian measures
and become even more hysterical. They feed each other and
the snowball becomes larger and larger until you reach
irrational territory. This is nothing more than a flu
epidemic if you care to look at the numbers and the data,
but people who are in a state of anxiety are blind. If I
were making the decisions, I would try to give people the
real numbers. And I would never destroy my country.
spiked: What do the numbers tell us, in your view?
Lass: Mortality due to coronavirus is a fake number. Most
people are not dying from coronavirus. Those recording
deaths simply change the label. If patients died from
leukaemia, from metastatic cancer, from cardiovascular
disease or from dementia, they put coronavirus. Also, the
number of infected people is fake, because it depends on
the number of tests. The more tests you do the more
infected people you get.
The only real number is the total number of deaths - all
causes of death, not just coronavirus. If you look at
those numbers, you will see that every winter we get what
is called an excess death rate. That is, during the winter
more people die compared to the average, due to regular,
seasonal flu epidemics, which nobody cares about. If you
look at the coronavirus wave on a graph, you will see that
it looks like a spike. Coronavirus comes very fast, but it
also goes away very fast. The influenza wave is shallow as
it takes three months to pass, but coronavirus takes one
month. If you count the number of people who die in terms
of excess mortality - which is the area under the curve -
you will see that during the coronavirus season, we have
had an excess mortality which is about 15 per cent larger
than the epidemic of regular flu in 2017.
Compared to that rise, the draconian measures are of
biblical proportions. Hundreds of millions of people are
suffering. In developing countries many will die from
starvation. In developed countries many will die from
unemployment. Unemployment is mortality. More people will
die from the measures than from the virus. And the people
who die from the measures are the breadwinners. They are
younger. Among the people who die from coronavirus, the
median age is often higher than the life expectancy of the
population. What has been done is not proportionate. But
people are afraid. People are brainwashed. They do not
listen to the data. And that includes governments.
Lass: Any reasonable expert - that is, anyone but
Professor Ferguson from Imperial College who would have
locked down everybody when we had swine flu - will tell
you that lockdown cannot change the final number of
infected people. It can only change the rate of
infection. And people argue that by changing the rate of
infection and 'flattening the curve', we prevented the
collapse of hospitals. I have shown you the costs of
lockdown, but this was the argument in favour of it. But
look at Sweden. No lockdown and no collapse of
hospitals. The argument for the lockdown collapses.
* * *
Ну и вот, целое сообщество, полное ковидоскептицизма
https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19skeptic
с разоблачением фейков от ковидобесия, которыми
полны мейнстримные масс-медиа, типа такого вот
https://archive.org/details/fake-sky-ne
The media says "crematoria ovens never stop burning" in
Mexico City. Independent journalist visits crematoria and
hospitalsin Mexico to try and verify the claims of
mainstream media that Mexico COVID cases are overwhelming
hospitals and crematoria.
To the contrary, many hospitals
and crematoria are closed, and those that are open are
mainly empty, just as in the USA.
Про Бразилию пишут то же самое, типа трупы на улицах
некому уносить, между тем даже в Рио госпитали по большей
части пустуют.
Вообще эта ситуация повторяется по всему миру,
по случаю ковида и локдауна, количество пациентов
падает, госпитали простаивают и разоряются, врачей
и медсестер увольняют и отправляют в отпуск.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/14/doc
https://calmatters.org/health/2020/04/c
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl
https://www.startribune.com/covid-19-fa
https://www.startribune.com/covid-19-pl
https://www.dailydemocrat.com/2020/04/2
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/03/us/p
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