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Пишет D. Kaledin (![[info]](http://lj.rossia.org/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small} kaledin) |
Т.е. если хочешь наглую подгонку под ответ -- которая при этом все время врет -- то вот она:
But another model that originated in Seattle takes a different tack — and has drawn harsh criticism. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington incorporates no information about the virus in its model. Instead, researchers chart the number of deaths in countries and states where strict social distancing has been implemented and assume deaths in other places will follow similar trajectories.
IHME Director Dr. Christopher Murray defends the approach, which he says doesn’t require assumptions about transmission rates or other biological parameters. The group issues regular updates on a web site that forecasts daily and total deaths and peak hospitalization for every state and dozens of countries.
Murray confers frequently with top lawmakers and members of President Trump’s coronavirus task force, but critics say the model promises more than it delivers.
But another model that originated in Seattle takes a different tack — and has drawn harsh criticism. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington incorporates no information about the virus in its model. Instead, researchers chart the number of deaths in countries and states where strict social distancing has been implemented and assume deaths in other places will follow similar trajectories.
IHME Director Dr. Christopher Murray defends the approach, which he says doesn’t require assumptions about transmission rates or other biological parameters. The group issues regular updates on a web site that forecasts daily and total deaths and peak hospitalization for every state and dozens of countries.
Murray confers frequently with top lawmakers and members of President Trump’s coronavirus task force, but critics say the model promises more than it delivers.
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